The transfer window exodus
By Steve Moore
Updated Thursday, 6th December 2007
Who's going to say goodbye to Kenilworth Road in January?
Another administration, another transfer window, another player exodus. Having said that, considering the team of two years ago, the fact that we're in administration isn't the reason for the mass exodus to come, mainly because it seems to have been going on anyway.
So, who's going to leave? How badly will we miss them? How much will we get for them? These are the questions I going to speculate the answers to.
Already in the car park
David Bell - In his case, he's probably already on the M1. Our one bright spark in the relegation season, the 23-year-old had started this season the way he finished the last, on another level to the rest of the team entirely. Realistically, we are never going to be able to keep hold of him. He is way above League 1 level and owes it to himself to move up a division.
However, since rumours of Portsmouth being interested in him appeared in the press, he has not quite been the driving force behind the team he was before. He's still a key name on the team sheet though and will be a big miss.
Predicted Sale Price - £500,000 (a lot less than he's worth, but it's all we're going to get)
Dean Brill - Brill has done his time as a backup and forced his way into the first team with a string of terrific performances. This is despite Blackwell's desperate attempts to loan keepers in ahead of him. Now, those same performances are going to force Blackwell to scramble about in the loan market. This is because those same performances that got him in the team are now attracting interest that will get him out the team and up a division.
Deservedly so as well, without him, I feel we will look even flakier at the back than we are already. He has been saving us on several occasions all season when our defence has been caught out.
Predicted Sale Price - £380,000
David Edwards - The Welshman may have only been here since the start of the season but he was attracting interest from the Championship as a free agent in the summer. The former Welsh U-21 international has continued to impress during the start of his full international career against Rep. Ireland and Germany and as a result I can't see that the interest would've diminished.
Although on the face of it, Edwards hasn't set the world alight at his time with the club. I firmly believe that his ability to get forward quickly in support of the front men (or in our case front man) has enabled Blackwell's policy of playing only one up front to work better than he otherwise would.
Predicted Sale Price - £400,000
Heading through the exit door
Matthew Spring - Apparently, before he rejoined Luton, Spring was rumoured to be joining Norwich. Now, at 28, you'd imagine that with his wages being deferred that any interest from the Championship clubs would be grabbed desperately. Whether the interest will still be there considering he's at his peak now rather than an improving player is a different matter. However, if the administrators' valuation is meet, he will be off.
Predicted Sale Price - £250,000
Dean Morgan - Enigmatic, frustrating, annoying, occasionally brilliant. All words I've heard muttered in the Kenilworth Road End about Dean Morgan. I should know, I've used most of them!
There is no doubt in my mind that he has about as much natural ability as any player at the club, except possibly David Bell. It is just incredibly frustrating that we only see the occasional flashes of that ability. On loan to Southend, I can just see Morgan producing enough of that ability to secure a move to the Essex coast.
This might not be a bad thing; I admit that someone who can change a game with goals like the one he scored at home to Southampton two seasons ago. However, in a relegation dogfight can we really afford a player who we can't be sure will produce whenever he takes the field.
Predicted Sale Price - £175,000
Ahmet Brkovic - He may be 33, but I've always liked Brko. He has ability; he works very hard, gives it all and has always scored goals for us. If we lose players like Bell and Edwards, Brko will be absolutely vital to our cause. I don't think Blackwell sees it like though and I can see him leaving for good to Millwall in January. Not only that, I can see him coming back to haunt us come late March.
Predicted Sale Price - £150,000
Lewis Emanuel - I thought he was pretty decent last season and has been cast off relatively quickly by Blackwell. Another player who could do a job down the wing considering the other players we could be losing. However, seeing as he has been sent out on loan to a lower division club he may be looking for a move.
Predicted Sale Price - £175,000
Hoping for a phone call
Sol Davis - The only difference between Davis and his replacement, Alan Goodall, in my book, is that Goodall is two years younger and hasn't had a stroke. They are similar types of players with similar abilities and neither of them is that much better than the other.
The fact remains though that since the stroke, Sol has not recovered to his previous best. As a result, it is a large possibility that Blackwell could be looking to move him on. The problem with this is that everyone else knows his previous medical history, so his ability to fetch any value is minimal.
Predicted Sale Price - Whatever anyone will offer for him.
Keith Keane - I don't believe that Keane will go. This is for the simple reason that he has not been enough of a regular to attract attention from Championship clubs. Anyone with a good scouting network might see his potential value and a decent bid for him might make the administrators sit up and take notice.
All in all, we might have a squad, come February, that has been ripped to shreads...
Darlington away anyone?